#2 US Netflix Show this week? | PredictPedia

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GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

#2 US Netflix Show this week?

Total Volume

$80.49K

Events

Markets

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#2 US Netflix Show this week?

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $80.49K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $80.49K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

#2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Agatha Christie's Seven Dials)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
#2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Agatha Christie's Seven Dials)	Kalshi	81%
#2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (11.22.63: Season 1)	Kalshi	15%
#2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (HIS & HERS: Limited Series)	Kalshi	3%
#2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Stranger Things 2)	Kalshi	1%
#2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Stranger Things 3)	Kalshi	1%
#2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Stranger Things: Season 1)	Kalshi	1%
#2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Stranger Things 5)	Kalshi	1%
#2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Run Away: Limited Series)	Kalshi	1%
#2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Raw: 2026 - January 5, 2026)	Kalshi	1%
#2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Ms. Rachel: Season 1)	Kalshi	1%
#2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Marcello Hernández: American Boy)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

81%

Top Probability

$80.49K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The chart published on Jan 20, 2026 If X is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show on the chart published on Jan 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Jan 20, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** #2 US Netflix Show this week?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** The chart published on Jan 20, 2026

If X is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show on the chart published on Jan 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Jan 20, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Agatha Christie's Seven Dials is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show on the chart published on Jan 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Jan 20, 202"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $80.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $14.11M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. #2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Agatha Christie's Seven Dials)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 26, 2026): Vol $709
  DATA: [Yes: 81.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. #2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Stranger Things 2)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 26, 2026): Vol $250
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. #2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Stranger Things 3)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 26, 2026): Vol $916
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. #2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Stranger Things: Season 1)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 26, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. #2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Stranger Things 5)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 26, 2026): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. #2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Run Away: Limited Series)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 26, 2026): Vol $36.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. #2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Raw: 2026 - January 5, 2026)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 26, 2026): Vol $7.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. #2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Ms. Rachel: Season 1)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 26, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. #2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Marcello Hernández: American Boy)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 26, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. #2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (HIS & HERS: Limited Series)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 26, 2026): Vol $11.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. #2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (11.22.63: Season 1)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 26, 2026): Vol $13.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

9¢

Kalshi

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#2 US Netflix Show this week?

#2 US Netflix Show this week?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

#2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Agatha Christie's Seven Dials)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

#2 US Netflix Show on Jan 19, 2026? (Agatha Christie's Seven Dials)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)