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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Name: MLB: 2026 AL MVP
End: 2026-11-13T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$47.05K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Vol

$47.05K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $47.05K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $47.05K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Poly	39%
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Poly	26%
Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Poly	21%
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Poly	10%
Will Mike Trout win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Poly	7%
Will Jose Ramirez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Poly	6%
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Poly	5%
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Poly	4%
Will Gunnar Henderson win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Poly	2%
Will Julio Rodriguez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Poly	1%
Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

39%

Top Probability

$47.05K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this marke

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MLB: 2026 AL MVP 
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 13, 2026 (92 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this marke

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose liste"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $47.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $38.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.22)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $955
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Gunnar Henderson win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $194
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $321
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $948
  DATA: [Yes: 25.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jose Ramirez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $324
  DATA: [Yes: 6.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.7% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Mike Trout win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $85
  DATA: [Yes: 6.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.3% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Julio Rodriguez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $41.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Cal Raleigh win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $85
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Volume$47.05K

Markets11

11 of 11

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 38.5¢No 61.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

POLYMARKET

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 25.7¢No 74.4¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

POLYMARKET

Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

POLYMARKET

Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

POLYMARKET

Will Mike Trout win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 6.8¢No 93.3¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Mike Trout win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

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Discussion

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Next Market Closes

91d 2h remaining

Nov 13, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

11¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Ail4qb" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="MLB: 2026 AL MVP "></iframe>

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MLB: 2026 AL MVP

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

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Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Markets (11)

Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Mike Trout win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Mike Trout win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

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Discussion

Next Market Closes

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Mike Trout win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Mike Trout win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Next Market Closes

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