GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

August Inflation US - Monthly

Name: August Inflation US - Monthly
End: 2026-09-11T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$29.60K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

August Inflation US - Monthly

Vol

$29.60K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $29.60K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $29.60K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	Poly	47%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?	Poly	26%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?	Poly	18%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?	Poly	6%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in August?	Poly	1%
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in August?	Poly	1%
Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in August?	Poly	0%
Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.2% in August?	Poly	0%
Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.3% or more in August?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

47%

Top Probability

$29.60K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.go

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** August Inflation US - Monthly
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 11, 2026 (6 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.go

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urb"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $29.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $12.0K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.47)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.3% or more in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.2% in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $618
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $799
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $999
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $8.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $11.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy