Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Name: Who will Trump speak to by October 31?
End: 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$203.64K

Events

Markets

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Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Vol

$203.64K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $203.64K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $203.64K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

19 markets tracked

Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?	Poly	100%
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?	Poly	94%
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by October 31?	Poly	93%
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by October 31?	Poly	91%
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?	Poly	73%
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?	Poly	56%
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?	Poly	47%
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?	Poly	44%
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?	Poly	23%
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31?	Poly	13%
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un by October 31?	Poly	4%
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado by October 31?	Poly	4%
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV by October 31?	Poly	2%
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian by October 31?	Poly	2%
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi by October 31?	Poly	2%
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol by October 31?	Poly	1%
Will Trump speak to Miguel Díaz-Canel by October 31?	Poly	1%
Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei by October 31?	Poly	1%
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro by October 31?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$203.64K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will Trump speak to by October 31?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 1, 2026 (21 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting,

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $133.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $255.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.52)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $289
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $302
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $869
  DATA: [Yes: 3.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $5.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $6.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $343
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $66.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.7% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $6.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.3% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $23.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $402
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $531
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Trump speak to Miguel Díaz-Canel by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $654
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics