Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?

Total Volume

$106.18K

Events

Markets

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Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?

Vol

$106.18K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $106.18K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $106.18K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?	Kalshi	42%
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030?	Kalshi	41%
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	24%
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

42%

Top Probability

$106.18K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2027 If a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate has become law in New York City before Jan 1, X then the market resolves to Yes. Extending, renewing, or otherwise preserving an existing temporary rate, including preventing a scheduled reduction, does not constitute a rate increase. Laws passed by New York State are encompassed within the Payout Criterion if they apply to or govern New York City. This market will close and expire early if the law is enac

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2027

If a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate has become law in New York City before Jan 1, X then the market resolves to Yes. Extending, renewing, or otherwise preserving an existing temporary rate, including preventing a scheduled reduction, does not constitute a rate increase. Laws passed by New York State are encompassed within the Payout Criterion if they apply to or govern New York City. This market will close and expire early if the law is enac

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Extending, renewing, or otherwise preserving an existing temporary rate, including preventing a scheduled reduction, does not c"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $106.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2030): Vol $271
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2029): Vol $888
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $122
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $104.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?

Volume$106.18K

Markets4

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KALSHI

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.5¢No 58.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?

If a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Extending, renewing, or otherwise preserving an existing temporary rate, including preventing a scheduled reduction, does not c

KALSHI

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030?

If a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Extending, renewing, or otherwise preserving an existing temporary rate, including preventing a scheduled reduction, does not c

KALSHI

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.0¢No 76.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?

If a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Extending, renewing, or otherwise preserving an existing temporary rate, including preventing a scheduled reduction, does not c

KALSHI

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.6¢No 94.4¢

KALSHICompanies

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?

If a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Extending, renewing, or otherwise preserving an existing temporary rate, including preventing a scheduled reduction, does not c

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Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?

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Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?

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Events (1)

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?

Markets (4)

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030?

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030?

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030?

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030?

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?

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