$46.33K
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$46.33K
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4 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
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| Poly | 100% |
| Poly | 100% |
| Poly | 14% |
| Poly | 0% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between los kogutos and MASONIC in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group B, scheduled for January 16 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "los kogutos" if los kogutos win the match against MASONIC. This market will resolve to "MASONIC" if MASONIC win the match against los kogutos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this mark
Prediction markets are pricing in a nearly even split for this Counter-Strike qualifier match. On Polymarket, the contract for "los kogutos" to win Map 1 is trading at 52%, implying the market assigns them a marginal 52% probability of taking the initial map. This price suggests the market views the opening map as essentially a coin flip, with los kogutos holding a negligible advantage. The overall match winner market is characterized by thin liquidity, with only about $1,000 in total volume spread across five related markets, indicating low trader confidence and a lack of strong consensus.
The pricing reflects the closely matched and relatively unknown nature of both teams within the tier-two European Counter-Strike scene. Los kogutos and MASONIC are both competing in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier, a tournament known for featuring emerging and semi-professional rosters. The lack of a clear favorite is typical for early-stage qualifier matches where team form is volatile and detailed recent performance data is scarce. The thin market volume itself is a key factor, as low liquidity often leads to prices that are more sensitive to small bets and may not fully capture a robust analytical view.
Given the match resolves in less than a day, the primary catalyst for odds movement will be any last-minute information regarding team rosters, player form, or strategy leaks. In the Counter-Strike qualifier circuit, a stand-in player or a publicly shared scrimmage result can significantly shift perceptions. Since liquidity is low, a relatively small informed bet could swing the Map 1 winner probability by 10% or more. The market's current uncertainty means it is highly susceptible to new information before the 7:00 AM ET start on January 16.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market concerns a professional Counter-Strike 2 match between the teams los kogutos and MASONIC. The match is a Best-of-Three (BO3) series scheduled for January 16 at 7:00 AM Eastern Time. It is part of the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group B, a tournament pathway to the CCT Global Finals, a significant event in the Counter-Strike esports calendar with a substantial prize pool. The market resolves based on which team wins the match, providing a financial instrument for speculating on the outcome. This specific qualifier represents a crucial opportunity for both teams, particularly los kogutos, a Spanish squad, and MASONIC, an international roster, to earn valuable prize money, ranking points, and a chance to compete against top-tier European opposition in later stages. Interest stems from the competitive nature of regional qualifiers, where emerging teams often face off in unpredictable matches that can define their seasons. The outcome impacts not only tournament progression but also team morale, sponsorship visibility, and player careers within the highly competitive European Counter-Strike ecosystem.
The rivalry between Spanish and international mixed teams in European qualifiers has a rich history. los kogutos, formed in 2023, represents the latest iteration of Spanish Counter-Strike talent seeking to break into the top tier, following in the footsteps of teams like Movistar Riders. MASONIC, established in 2021, has undergone several roster changes, evolving into its current international lineup. The two teams have limited direct historical matchups, making this encounter a fresh test. More broadly, the CCT (Champions Cup Tour) ecosystem, launched in 2022, has become a vital pipeline for teams outside the immediate elite, offering consistent competition and qualification paths to larger events. The Europe Closed Qualifier system, where this match takes place, has been the stage for numerous upsets and breakout performances since its inception. Past qualifiers have seen similar-tier teams use victories as springboards to greater recognition and success, highlighting the high stakes of each match in the bracket.
Beyond determining a single match winner, this contest has tangible consequences for the professional trajectories of the players and organizations involved. A win advances a team in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier, bringing them closer to a share of the $50,000 prize pool for Series #13 and, more importantly, qualification points for the CCT Global Finals, which features a $500,000 prize pool. Success in these qualifiers enhances a team's visibility, potentially attracting sponsorships and opportunities for invites to more prestigious tournaments. For the players, strong performances can lead to offers from higher-ranked organizations, impacting their earning potential and career longevity. The match also matters to the broader Counter-Strike betting and prediction market community, where regional qualifier matches represent a volatile and actively traded market segment. The outcome influences the odds and trading dynamics for subsequent matches in the tournament.
As of the scheduled date, the match is set to proceed on January 16 at 7:00 AM ET. Both teams are coming into the match based on their recent performances in the CCT qualifier circuit and other online events. Preparation in the days leading up to the match involves intensive practice, map strategy sessions, and analysis of the opponent's recent demos. The latest developments would include any last-minute roster changes, which are uncommon but possible, and the final map veto process, which will determine the two or three maps played in the BO3 series. The teams' form on those specific maps will be the decisive factor.
The CCT Europe Closed Qualifier is an online tournament series that serves as a pathway for European teams to earn points and qualify for the CCT Global Finals. It features a prize pool and is a competitive battleground for tier 2 and tier 3 teams.
Based on roster firepower, MASONIC is often considered the favorite due to the presence of star AWPer SunPayus. However, los kogutos' cohesive Spanish lineup and veteran presence make them a capable opponent, and the match is expected to be competitive.
The match will likely be broadcast on the official Counter-Strike streaming channels on Twitch or YouTube, such as the CCT channel. Community casters may also stream the game with their own commentary.
According to the prediction market rules, if the match is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined, the market will resolve as canceled. Otherwise, it resolves once the match is conclusively played.
The maps are determined by a veto process just before the match. Teams typically veto their weakest maps and pick their strongest. Common maps in the current competitive pool include Mirage, Inferno, Ancient, Nuke, and Anubis.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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