Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

Name: Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
End: 2027-02-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$443.70K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

Vol

$443.70K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $443.70K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $443.70K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Poly	28%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

28%

Top Probability

$443.70K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In a civil complaint filed in September 2026, a Cornell University student alleged that she was drugged and sexually assaulted in October 2024 by multiple members of the Chi Phi fraternity at the fraternity's house in Ithaca, New York. Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris and Scott Kretzschmar are the 7 individual defendants alleged in the September 2026 civil complaint to have participated in the alleged October 2024 sexual assault. This mar

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 1, 2027 (113 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** In a civil complaint filed in September 2026, a Cornell University student alleged that she was drugged and sexually assaulted in October 2024 by multiple members of the Chi Phi fraternity at the fraternity's house in Ithaca, New York. Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris and Scott Kretzschmar are the 7 individual defendants alleged in the September 2026 civil complaint to have participated in the alleged October 2024 sexual assault.

This mar

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $443.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $164.9K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.69)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2027): Vol $443.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture