Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Fluminense vs Palmeiras: Regulation Time Spread

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Fluminense vs Palmeiras: Regulation Time Spread

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Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	50%
Reg Time: Fluminense wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	50%
Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	13%
Reg Time: Fluminense wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	11%

AI Analysis

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50%

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About This Event

FLU vs PAL (Oct 14) If Palmeiras wins by more than X goals in the Fluminense vs Palmeiras professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Thi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Fluminense vs Palmeiras: Regulation Time Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** FLU vs PAL (Oct 14)

If Palmeiras wins by more than X goals in the Fluminense vs Palmeiras professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Thi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Fluminense vs Palmeiras professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Reg Time: Fluminense wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Reg Time: Fluminense wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Fluminense vs Palmeiras: Regulation Time Spread

Volume$0.00

Markets4

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KALSHI

Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Fluminense vs Palmeiras professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not

KALSHI

Reg Time: Fluminense wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Reg Time: Fluminense wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Fluminense wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Fluminense vs Palmeiras professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is no

KALSHI

Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Fluminense vs Palmeiras professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not

KALSHI

Reg Time: Fluminense wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Reg Time: Fluminense wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Fluminense wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Fluminense vs Palmeiras professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is no

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Fluminense vs Palmeiras: Regulation Time Spread

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Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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Events (1)

Fluminense vs Palmeiras: Regulation Time Spread

Markets (4)

Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Reg Time: Fluminense wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Reg Time: Fluminense wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Reg Time: Fluminense wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Reg Time: Fluminense wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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Fluminense vs Palmeiras: Regulation Time Spread

Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Reg Time: Fluminense wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Reg Time: Fluminense wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Reg Time: Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Reg Time: Fluminense wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Reg Time: Fluminense wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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