Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q3

Total Volume

$5.83K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q3

Vol

$5.83K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $5.83K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.83K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 810 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 810 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 820 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	98%
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 830 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	96%
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 840 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	95%
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 850 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	95%
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 860 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	93%
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 870 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	91%
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 880 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	88%
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 890 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	84%
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 900 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	76%
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 930 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	0%
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 920 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	0%
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 910 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$5.83K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

passengers carried in Q3 2026 If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports Above X passengers carried in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q3
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** passengers carried in Q3 2026

If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports Above X passengers carried in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports Above 930000 passengers carried in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 930 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 920 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 910 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 900 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 890 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $211
  DATA: [Yes: 84.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 880 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $320
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 870 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 860 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $283
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 850 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $87
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 840 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $64
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 830 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 820 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $87
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 810 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $87
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q3

Volume$5.83K

Markets13

13 of 13

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 810 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 810 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports Above 810000 passengers carried in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand

KALSHI

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 820 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 820 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports Above 820000 passengers carried in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand

KALSHI

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 830 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 830 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports Above 830000 passengers carried in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand

KALSHI

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 840 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 840 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports Above 840000 passengers carried in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand

KALSHI

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 850 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 850 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports Above 850000 passengers carried in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand

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70¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/B-9rEd" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q3"></iframe>

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Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q3

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Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 810 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

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Events (1)

Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q3

Markets (13)

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 810 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 810 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 820 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 820 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 830 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 830 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 840 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 840 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 850 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 850 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

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Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 810 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q3

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 810 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 810 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 820 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 820 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 830 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 830 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 840 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 840 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 850 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 850 thousand passengers carried in Q3 2026?

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