Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?

Name: Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
End: 2026-07-04T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$15.13K

Events

Markets

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Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?

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Polymarket

markets · $15.13K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $15.13K

100%

Polymarket leads

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1 market tracked

Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	Poly	60%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

60%

Top Probability

$15.13K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count. A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulati

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 4, 2026 (50 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.

A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulati

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of p"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $620
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 24.39)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 4, 2026): Vol $15.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

49d 12h remaining

Jul 04, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

60¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/B02qM9" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?"></iframe>

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Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?

Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?

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Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)