Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

Total Volume

$27.13K

Events

Markets

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Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

Vol

$27.13K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $27.13K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $27.13K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will Jean Smart be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jean Smart be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	88%
Will Elle Fanning be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	88%
Will Ayo Edebiri be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	80%
Will Lisa Kudrow be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	75%
Will Quinta Brunson be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	74%
Will Selena Gomez be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	30%
Will Kristen Bell be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	29%
Will Rinko Kikuch be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	8%
Will Keke Palmer be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	8%
Will Hannah Einbinder be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	6%
Will Kristen Wiig be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	6%
Will Natasha Lyonne be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jenna Ortega be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

88%

Top Probability

$27.13K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

84th Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy If X is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 84th Golden Globe Awards. All trademarks, logos

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 84th Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

If X is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 84th Golden Globe Awards. All trademarks, logos

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Rinko Kikuch is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026.

Kalshi is not"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $27.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Rinko Kikuch be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Keke Palmer be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Hannah Einbinder be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Selena Gomez be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Quinta Brunson be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $121
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Natasha Lyonne be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $9.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Lisa Kudrow be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $205
  DATA: [Yes: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Kristen Wiig be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Kristen Bell be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Jean Smart be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Jenna Ortega be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $7.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Elle Fanning be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Ayo Edebiri be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

Volume$27.13K

Markets13

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KALSHI

Will Jean Smart be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.0¢No 12.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jean Smart be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Jean Smart is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not a

KALSHI

Will Elle Fanning be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.0¢No 12.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Elle Fanning be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Elle Fanning is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not

KALSHI

Will Ayo Edebiri be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.0¢No 20.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Ayo Edebiri be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Ayo Edebiri is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not

KALSHI

Will Lisa Kudrow be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.0¢No 25.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Lisa Kudrow be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Lisa Kudrow is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not

KALSHI

Will Quinta Brunson be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.0¢No 26.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Quinta Brunson be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Quinta Brunson is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is n

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38¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/B1uJZn" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy"></iframe>

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Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

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Will Jean Smart be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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Events (1)

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

Markets (13)

Will Jean Smart be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Jean Smart be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Elle Fanning be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Elle Fanning be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Ayo Edebiri be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Ayo Edebiri be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Lisa Kudrow be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Lisa Kudrow be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Quinta Brunson be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Quinta Brunson be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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Will Jean Smart be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

Will Jean Smart be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Jean Smart be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Elle Fanning be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Elle Fanning be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Ayo Edebiri be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Ayo Edebiri be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Lisa Kudrow be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Lisa Kudrow be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Quinta Brunson be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Quinta Brunson be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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