Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical

Total Volume

$32.83K

Events

Markets

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Golden Globe Nominations: Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical

Vol

$32.83K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $32.83K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $32.83K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Widow’s Bay be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Widow’s Bay be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	95%
Will Hacks be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	89%
Will Only Murders in the Building be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	89%
Will Abbott Elementary be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	80%
Will The Bear be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	69%
Will Shrinking be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	65%
Will Ted Lasso be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	28%
Will Nobody Wants This be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	27%
Will Rooster be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	15%
Will The Studio be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$32.83K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

84th Golden Globe Nominations: Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical If X is on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 84th Golden Globe Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Golden Globe Nominations:  Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 84th Golden Globe Nominations:  Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical

If X is on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 84th Golden Globe Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Widow’s Bay is on the list of nominees for  Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $32.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Widow’s Bay be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ted Lasso be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $10.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will The Studio be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $11.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Shrinking be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $270
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Rooster be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Only Murders in the Building be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $19
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Nobody Wants This be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $5.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Hacks be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will The Bear be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Abbott Elementary be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical

Volume$32.83K

Markets10

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KALSHI

Will Widow’s Bay be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Widow’s Bay be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Widow’s Bay is on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated,

KALSHI

Will Hacks be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Hacks be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Hacks is on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associ

KALSHI

Will Only Murders in the Building be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.5¢No 11.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Only Murders in the Building be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Only Murders in the Building is on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is

KALSHI

Will Abbott Elementary be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.0¢No 20.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Abbott Elementary be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Abbott Elementary is on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affili

KALSHI

Will The Bear be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 68.5¢No 31.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will The Bear be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If The Bear is on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, ass

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56¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/mwbyt_" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Golden Globe Nominations:  Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical"></iframe>

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Golden Globe Nominations: Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical

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Will Widow’s Bay be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical

Markets (10)

Will Widow’s Bay be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Widow’s Bay be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Hacks be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Hacks be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Only Murders in the Building be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Only Murders in the Building be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Abbott Elementary be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Abbott Elementary be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Bear be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Bear be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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Will Widow’s Bay be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical

Will Widow’s Bay be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Widow’s Bay be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Hacks be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Hacks be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Only Murders in the Building be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Only Murders in the Building be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Abbott Elementary be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Abbott Elementary be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Bear be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Bear be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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