Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Paranaense vs Palmeiras: Spread

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Paranaense vs Palmeiras: Spread

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Polymarket

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4 markets tracked

Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	33%
Paranaense wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	19%
Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	17%
Paranaense wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	16%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

33%

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$0.00

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About This Event

CAP vs PAL (Oct 17) If Palmeiras wins by more than X goals in the Paranaense vs Palmeiras professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Paranaense vs Palmeiras: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** CAP vs PAL (Oct 17)

If Palmeiras wins by more than X goals in the Paranaense vs Palmeiras professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Paranaense vs Palmeiras professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not af"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Paranaense wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Paranaense wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Paranaense vs Palmeiras: Spread

Volume$0.00

Markets4

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KALSHI

Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.5¢No 67.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Paranaense vs Palmeiras professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not af

KALSHI

Paranaense wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.0¢No 81.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Paranaense wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Paranaense wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Paranaense vs Palmeiras professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not a

KALSHI

Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Paranaense vs Palmeiras professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not af

KALSHI

Paranaense wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Paranaense wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Paranaense wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Paranaense vs Palmeiras professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not a

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21¢

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Paranaense vs Palmeiras: Spread

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Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Paranaense vs Palmeiras: Spread

Markets (4)

Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Paranaense wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Paranaense wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Paranaense wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Paranaense wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Paranaense vs Palmeiras: Spread

Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Paranaense wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Paranaense wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Paranaense wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Paranaense wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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