$46.90K
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2 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
Will Team Secret Whales win the Team Secret Whales vs. Ground Zero Gaming League of Legends match? | Kalshi | 100% |
Will Ground Zero Gaming win the Team Secret Whales vs. Ground Zero Gaming League of Legends match? | Kalshi | 1% |
$46.90K
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Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
Team Secret Whales vs. Ground Zero Gaming (Jan 16) If X wins the LCP 2026: Team Secret Whales vs. Ground Zero Gaming League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jan 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Prediction markets are pricing in a near-certain victory for Team Secret Whales in Map 2 of their League of Legends match against Ground Zero Gaming. The leading market on Kalshi, asking "Will Team Secret Whales win map 2," is trading at 100 cents, implying a 100% probability. This price indicates the market views the outcome as virtually guaranteed, with no meaningful liquidity on the opposing "No" side. The total volume of $8,000 across two related markets is considered thin, suggesting this is a niche event with limited trader participation.
The extreme pricing is primarily driven by a forfeit or default scenario. The match was originally scheduled for January 16, 2026, as part of the LCP 2026 league. In competitive League of Legends, a 100% price on a single map win is exceptionally rare unless one team is unable to compete. Historical context shows that markets hit 100% when a team officially forfeits a match, granting an automatic map win to their opponent. The market description's "early close condition" confirms it will resolve immediately after a winner is declared, which aligns with an uncontested result.
Given the current 100% price, the odds are effectively locked. The only scenario that could theoretically change them would be an official reversal of the match outcome by the league administrators before the market's final resolution. However, once a forfeit is declared and the market closes early, the result is final. For traders, this market now functions as a settled contract awaiting official confirmation, not a venue for speculative trading on the map's competitive outcome.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic concerns the outcome of Map 2 in a professional League of Legends match scheduled for January 16, 2026, as part of the League of Legends Circuit Pacific (LCP) 2026 season. The match features Team Secret Whales (TSW) and Ground Zero Gaming (GZ), two prominent esports organizations competing in the Pacific region's premier league. The market specifically resolves to 'Yes' if Team Secret Whales wins the second map of this best-of-three series. The LCP is the official Riot Games-sanctioned league for the Pacific region, serving as a direct pathway to the annual Mid-Season Invitational and World Championship, making each regular season match crucial for playoff seeding and international qualification. The market includes an early close condition, meaning it will resolve immediately once a winner for Map 2 is officially declared by the league, rather than waiting for the entire match series to conclude. This creates a focused speculative instrument on a single, discrete game within a larger competitive context. Interest in this market stems from the growing intersection of esports fandom and prediction markets, where fans and analysts leverage their knowledge of team form, meta-game strategies, and player matchups to forecast outcomes. The specific focus on Map 2 adds a layer of strategic analysis, as it often represents a critical pivot point in a series where teams may adjust their draft picks and tactics based on the result of the opening game.
The League of Legends Circuit Pacific (LCP) was formed in 2023 as a merger of several regional leagues, including the former League of Legends Circuit Oceania (LCO) and the Pacific Championship Series (PCS). This consolidation by Riot Games aimed to create a stronger, more competitive region to better challenge the historically dominant leagues of South Korea (LCK), China (LPL), Europe (LEC), and North America (LCS). The 2026 season represents the fourth year of this unified league structure. Historically, matches in the Pacific region have been characterized by aggressive, skirmish-heavy playstyles, which can lead to volatile game outcomes, especially in early maps of a series. The specific matchup history between organizations like Team Secret and Ground Zero will be built over the preceding 2024 and 2025 seasons. Past seasons have shown that Map 2 often serves as a critical momentum swing. A team losing Map 1 may attempt dramatic strategy shifts, while the winning team may try to secure a swift series victory, making the second game a focal point for tactical adaptation. The concept of prediction markets on discrete esports maps gained traction in the early 2020s, paralleling the growth of live betting and fantasy esports platforms, which dissect matches into more granular, predictable events.
Beyond the immediate outcome for fans and bettors, this market reflects the continued maturation and financialization of the esports industry. The ability to create liquid prediction markets on specific game segments demonstrates a level of institutional and fan confidence in the stability and integrity of the league's operations. It signifies that esports events are viewed as sufficiently orderly and well-documented to support complex derivative instruments. For the teams and the LCP, consistent and accurate market resolution based on official results reinforces the league's credibility. It attracts engagement from a broader audience, including those interested in the analytical and speculative aspects of competition, which can drive viewership, sponsorship interest, and overall ecosystem value. Malfunctions or disputes in resolving such markets could damage fan trust and investor perception of the league's professionalism.
As of the creation of this market, the LCP 2026 season has not yet commenced. The match between Team Secret Whales and Ground Zero Gaming is scheduled for a future date, January 16, 2026. Therefore, there are no recent head-to-head results, roster moves, or form guides specific to the 2026 season context for these two teams. The market exists in a pre-event speculative state. All analysis will be based on historical performance from the 2025 season, any preseason tournaments, and announced roster changes in the intervening period. The most recent developments would be the conclusion of the LCP 2025 season and the subsequent off-season transfer window, where both teams may have made changes to their starting lineups.
Prediction markets typically have official rules for such contingencies. Usually, if the match is not played within a specified period (e.g., 24-48 hours) of the original schedule, the market may resolve as 'No' or be canceled, depending on the platform's specific rules outlined for the market. Always check the market's official resolution notes.
The market resolves based on the official result declared by the LCP and presented on its official broadcast. This is typically when the game's Nexus is destroyed, the opposing team surrenders, or a result is enforced by league officials due to a technical forfeit. The broadcast graphics and casters' announcement are the primary sources.
No. This market resolves solely on which team wins the second individual game (Map 2) of the series. The outcome of Map 1 or Map 3 does not affect this market's resolution. Team Secret Whales could lose the overall match 2-1 but still trigger a 'Yes' resolution if they won Map 2.
The LCP is the top-level professional League of Legends league for the Pacific region, sanctioned by Riot Games. It was formed in 2023 by merging previous regional leagues and features franchised teams competing for a chance to qualify for international tournaments like the Mid-Season Invitational and the World Championship.
It means the market will close and settle immediately once the outcome for Map 2 is known and officially declared. It will not remain open until the end of the entire best-of-three match series. Trading ceases as soon as Map 2 concludes.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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