Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Mauricio Lara vs. Carlos Ornelas

Name: Mauricio Lara vs. Carlos Ornelas
End: 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$113.60

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Mauricio Lara vs. Carlos Ornelas

Vol

$113.60

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $113.60

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $113.60

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Mauricio Lara vs. Carlos Ornelas

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Mauricio Lara vs. Carlos Ornelas	Poly	52%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

52%

Top Probability

$113.60

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Mauricio Lara" if Mauricio Lara is officially declared the winner of the fight against Carlos Ornelas, scheduled for August 30, 2026. It will resolve to "Carlos Ornelas" if Carlos Ornelas is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled before it begins, or postponed beyond September 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official inform

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Mauricio Lara vs. Carlos Ornelas
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 14, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Mauricio Lara" if Mauricio Lara is officially declared the winner of the fight against Carlos Ornelas, scheduled for August 30, 2026.

It will resolve to "Carlos Ornelas" if Carlos Ornelas is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled before it begins, or postponed beyond September 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official inform

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Mauricio Lara" if Mauricio Lara is officially declared the winner of the fight against Carlos Ornelas, scheduled for August 30, 2026.

It will resolve to "Carlos Ornelas" if Carlos Ornelas is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical d"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $114
* **Total Liquidity:** $36
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.17)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Mauricio Lara vs. Carlos Ornelas
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $114
  DATA: [Mauricio Lara: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [Carlos Ornelas: 48.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports