Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Global remittance cost at the end of 2027

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Global remittance cost at the end of 2027

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11 markets tracked

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.00%?

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Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.00%?	Kalshi	97%
Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.25%?	Kalshi	97%
Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.50%?	Kalshi	96%
Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.75%?	Kalshi	95%
Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.00%?	Kalshi	90%
Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.25%?	Kalshi	67%
Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.50%?	Kalshi	33%
Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.75%?	Kalshi	12%
Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 7.00%?	Kalshi	5%
Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 7.25%?	Kalshi	4%
Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 7.50%?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

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97%

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About This Event

December 31, 2027 If the latest available global average cost of sending $200 in remittances, as published by the World Bank in its Remittance Prices Worldwide reports as of December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the World Bank’s Global Average cost of sending $200 for the latest reference quarter available as of December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Include revisions published by that time and ignore later updates. The figure may refer to

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Global remittance cost at the end of 2027
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** December 31, 2027

If the latest available global average cost of sending $200 in remittances, as published by the World Bank in its Remittance Prices Worldwide reports as of December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the World Bank’s Global Average cost of sending $200 for the latest reference quarter available as of December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Include revisions published by that time and ignore later updates. The figure may refer to 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the latest available global average cost of sending $200 in remittances, as published by the World Bank in its Remittance Prices Worldwide reports as of December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, is above 

7.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the World Bank’s Global"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 7.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 7.25%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 7.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.75%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.25%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.75%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.25%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Global remittance cost at the end of 2027

Volume$0.00

Markets11

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KALSHI

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.00%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.00%?

If the latest available global average cost of sending $200 in remittances, as published by the World Bank in its Remittance Prices Worldwide reports as of December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, is above 5.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the World Bank’s Global

KALSHI

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.25%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.25%?

If the latest available global average cost of sending $200 in remittances, as published by the World Bank in its Remittance Prices Worldwide reports as of December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, is above 5.25%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the World Bank’s Global

KALSHI

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.50%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.50%?

If the latest available global average cost of sending $200 in remittances, as published by the World Bank in its Remittance Prices Worldwide reports as of December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, is above 5.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the World Bank’s Global

KALSHI

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.75%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.75%?

If the latest available global average cost of sending $200 in remittances, as published by the World Bank in its Remittance Prices Worldwide reports as of December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, is above 5.75%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the World Bank’s Global

KALSHI

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.00%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.00%?

If the latest available global average cost of sending $200 in remittances, as published by the World Bank in its Remittance Prices Worldwide reports as of December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, is above 6.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the World Bank’s Global

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/BGlpzh" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Global remittance cost at the end of 2027"></iframe>

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Global remittance cost at the end of 2027

Global remittance cost at the end of 2027

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Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.00%?

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Events (1)

Global remittance cost at the end of 2027

Markets (11)

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.00%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.00%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.25%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.25%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.50%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.50%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.75%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.75%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.00%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.00%?

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Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.00%?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Global remittance cost at the end of 2027

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.00%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.00%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.25%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.25%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.50%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.50%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.75%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.75%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.00%?

Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.00%?

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