Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Temporary-help employment in October

Total Volume

$992.33

Events

Markets

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Temporary-help employment in October

Vol

$992.33

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $992.33

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $992.33

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.440 million?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.440 million?	Kalshi	51%
Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.500 million?	Kalshi	48%
Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.420 million?	Kalshi	47%
Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.540 million?	Kalshi	46%
Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.520 million?	Kalshi	45%
Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.480 million?	Kalshi	44%
Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.460 million?	Kalshi	43%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$992.33

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

October 2026 If All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 is above X million, according to FRED series TEMPHELPS, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first published, seasonally adjusted October 2026 value for FRED series TEMPHELPS. Revisions to previously published values will not be considered. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Temporary-help employment in October
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 2026

If All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 is above X million, according to FRED series TEMPHELPS, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first published, seasonally adjusted October 2026 value for FRED series TEMPHELPS. Revisions to previously published values will not be considered. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 is above 2.540 million, according to FRED series TEMPHELPS, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first published, seasonally adjusted October 2026 value for FRED series TEMPHELPS. Revisions to previously pu"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $992
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.540 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.520 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $66
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.500 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $120
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.480 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.460 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.440 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $385
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.420 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Temporary-help employment in October

Volume$992.33

Markets7

7 of 7

Sort:

KALSHI

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.440 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.440 million?

If All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 is above 2.440 million, according to FRED series TEMPHELPS, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first published, seasonally adjusted October 2026 value for FRED series TEMPHELPS. Revisions to previously pu

KALSHI

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.500 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.500 million?

If All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 is above 2.500 million, according to FRED series TEMPHELPS, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first published, seasonally adjusted October 2026 value for FRED series TEMPHELPS. Revisions to previously pu

KALSHI

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.420 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.0¢No 53.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.420 million?

If All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 is above 2.420 million, according to FRED series TEMPHELPS, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first published, seasonally adjusted October 2026 value for FRED series TEMPHELPS. Revisions to previously pu

KALSHI

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.540 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 46.0¢No 54.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.540 million?

If All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 is above 2.540 million, according to FRED series TEMPHELPS, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first published, seasonally adjusted October 2026 value for FRED series TEMPHELPS. Revisions to previously pu

KALSHI

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.520 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.0¢No 55.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.520 million?

If All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 is above 2.520 million, according to FRED series TEMPHELPS, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first published, seasonally adjusted October 2026 value for FRED series TEMPHELPS. Revisions to previously pu

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46¢

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Temporary-help employment in October

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Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.440 million?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Temporary-help employment in October

Markets (7)

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.440 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.440 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.500 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.500 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.420 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.420 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.540 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.540 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.520 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.520 million?

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Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.440 million?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Temporary-help employment in October

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.440 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.440 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.500 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.500 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.420 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.420 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.540 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.540 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.520 million?

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.520 million?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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