ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the ZCash price over a short window. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T22:30:00.000Z [1]. That is the close time the provider listed for this contract. It is not a resolution result, and the evidence does not include a resolved outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-31T20:57:29.550Z [1]. The prices below describe the market at the observation time, not at the retrieval time or now.
At the observation time, the saved market showed Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from one platform. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence includes no volume or liquidity figures, so nothing here can be said about depth or trading activity.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. Coverage shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sampling [1]. Because only one contract is present, there is no other outcome to compare, and no cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show whether this contract is still active, what the price is now, or whether it has resolved. The provider status was "active" when the source was retrieved, but that status belongs to the saved excerpt and is not a live reading [1].
The evidence also does not explain why the snapshot showed equal prices. It contains no information about the ZCash price path during the window, the price at the start of the range, or trader activity. A reader should not infer a direction or a likelihood from the 0.5 figures.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term price contract on ZCash, labeled as an Up or Down market for the window from 6:15PM to 6:30PM ET on October 31. The contract is listed in the Crypto category and has two outcomes, Up and Down [1]. The contract rules state that it resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to Down [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink. The rules specify its ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and state that only this Chainlink data stream counts, not other sources or spot markets [1]. This means the outcome depends on the average of the Chainlink series over the window compared with the starting level, rather than on a single trade or a headline price at the close. The listed end time for the event is 2026-10-31T22:30:00.000Z [1]. Per the rules, the question is settled by the Chainlink TWAP comparison over the window, so the end time marks when the window closes rather than when any separate announcement is made.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average price of ZCash, as reported in the specified Chainlink TWAP data stream, finishes the window at or above the price at the start of the window [1]. Because it uses an average over the window rather than one point, the result reflects the path of the price across the interval as captured by that stream. Readers should treat it as a narrow, rule-defined question tied to one data source and one time window, which is different from a general forecast of ZCash over longer periods [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and Down otherwise [1].
Which data source is used for resolution?
The rules name the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream and state that other sources or spot markets are not used for this contract [1].
When does this contract's listed window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T22:30:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.