Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Virslīga (Latvia): Teams relegated (2026)

Name: Virslīga (Latvia): Teams relegated (2026)
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$4.99K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Virslīga (Latvia): Teams relegated (2026)

Vol

$4.99K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $4.99K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.99K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Ogre United be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ogre United be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?	Poly	76%
Will Tukums 2000 be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?	Poly	53%
Will Grobiņas SC be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?	Poly	35%
Will SK Super Nova be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?	Poly	13%
Will RFS be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?	Poly	10%
Will FK Auda be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?	Poly	4%
Will BFC Daugavpils be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?	Poly	2%
Will FK Liepāja be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?	Poly	2%
Will FS Jelgava be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?	Poly	1%
Will Riga FC be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

76%

Top Probability

$4.99K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Virslīga (Latvia) at the conclusion of the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Virslīga (Latvia) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Virslīga (Latvia). If the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia) season is

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Virslīga (Latvia): Teams relegated (2026)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (82 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Virslīga (Latvia) at the conclusion of the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Virslīga (Latvia) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Virslīga (Latvia).

If the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia) season is

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Virslīga (Latvia) at the conclusion of the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Virslīga (Latvia) for the following season throu"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.3K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.89)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Riga FC be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $320
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will RFS be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $875
  DATA: [Yes: 10.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will FK Liepāja be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $634
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will FS Jelgava be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $334
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will BFC Daugavpils be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will FK Auda be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $734
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Grobiņas SC be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $580
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will SK Super Nova be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.6% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Tukums 2000 be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $270
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Ogre United be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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