Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?

Total Volume

$1.81K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?

Vol

$1.81K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.81K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.81K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Semax (free base) or Semax acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Semax (free base) or Semax acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?	Kalshi	77%
Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Epitalon (free base) or Epitalon acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?	Kalshi	77%
Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add TB-500 (free base) or TB-500 acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?	Kalshi	76%
Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add MOTS-c (free base) or MOTS-c acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?	Kalshi	76%
Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add KPV (free base) or KPV acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?	Kalshi	76%
Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add BPC-157 (free base) or BPC-157 acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?	Kalshi	76%
Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add emideltide (free base) or emideltide acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?	Kalshi	25%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

77%

Top Probability

$1.81K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Oct 1, 2027 If the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announces publication of a proposed rule that would add X free base, or Y acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Oct 1, 2027

If the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announces publication of a proposed rule that would add X free base, or Y acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announces publication of a proposed rule that would add TB-500 (free base) or TB-500 acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add TB-500 (free base) or TB-500 acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 9, 2027): Vol $221
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Semax (free base) or Semax acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 9, 2027): Vol $76
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add MOTS-c (free base) or MOTS-c acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 9, 2027): Vol $190
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add KPV (free base) or KPV acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 9, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Epitalon (free base) or Epitalon acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 9, 2027): Vol $76
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add emideltide (free base) or emideltide acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 9, 2027): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add BPC-157 (free base) or BPC-157 acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 9, 2027): Vol $185
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?

Volume$1.81K

Markets7

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KALSHI

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Semax (free base) or Semax acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Semax (free base) or Semax acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

If the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announces publication of a proposed rule that would add Semax (free base) or Semax acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Epitalon (free base) or Epitalon acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Epitalon (free base) or Epitalon acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

If the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announces publication of a proposed rule that would add Epitalon (free base) or Epitalon acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add TB-500 (free base) or TB-500 acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add TB-500 (free base) or TB-500 acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

If the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announces publication of a proposed rule that would add TB-500 (free base) or TB-500 acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add MOTS-c (free base) or MOTS-c acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add MOTS-c (free base) or MOTS-c acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

If the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announces publication of a proposed rule that would add MOTS-c (free base) or MOTS-c acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add KPV (free base) or KPV acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add KPV (free base) or KPV acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

If the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announces publication of a proposed rule that would add KPV (free base) or KPV acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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Average Yes Price

69¢

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Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?

Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?

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Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Semax (free base) or Semax acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?

Markets (7)

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Semax (free base) or Semax acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Semax (free base) or Semax acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Epitalon (free base) or Epitalon acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Epitalon (free base) or Epitalon acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add TB-500 (free base) or TB-500 acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add TB-500 (free base) or TB-500 acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add MOTS-c (free base) or MOTS-c acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add MOTS-c (free base) or MOTS-c acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add KPV (free base) or KPV acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add KPV (free base) or KPV acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

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Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Semax (free base) or Semax acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Semax (free base) or Semax acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Semax (free base) or Semax acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Epitalon (free base) or Epitalon acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add Epitalon (free base) or Epitalon acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add TB-500 (free base) or TB-500 acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add TB-500 (free base) or TB-500 acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add MOTS-c (free base) or MOTS-c acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add MOTS-c (free base) or MOTS-c acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add KPV (free base) or KPV acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announce publication of a proposed rule that would add KPV (free base) or KPV acetate to the 503A Bulks List before Oct 1, 2027?

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