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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner
Vol

PM $3.8K

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Events

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Democrat at 81.5%.

Polymarket

  1. Democrat81.5%
  2. Republican18%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $3.8K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona Secretary of State election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Arizona Secretary of State winner?

Arizona Secretary of State winner?

K 5.3K contracts
Will the Democratic party win the Secretary of State election in Arizona?Yes 82%
Will the Republican party win the Secretary of State election in Arizona?Yes 17%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota Secretary of State winner?

Minnesota Secretary of State winner?

K 13.5K contracts
Will Steve Simon win the 2026 Minnesota Secretary of State election?Yes 87.5%
Will Tad Jude win the 2026 Minnesota Secretary of State election?Yes 10.5%
Will Seth Kuhl-Stennes win the 2026 Minnesota Secretary of State election?Yes 1.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nebraska Secretary of State winner?

Nebraska Secretary of State winner?

K 116.37 contracts
Will Scott Petersen win the 2026 Nebraska Secretary of State election?Yes 88%
Will Sarah J. Slattery win the 2026 Nebraska Secretary of State election?Yes 3.5%
Will Paul Rumbaugh win the 2026 Nebraska Secretary of State election?Yes 3%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?

Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?

K 4.2K contracts
Will the number of Wisconsin State Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 22 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
Will the number of South Carolina House of Representatives seats held by Republicans be at least 83 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
Will the number of Ohio Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 20 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
+18 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Dakota Secretary of State winner?

South Dakota Secretary of State winner?

K 457.1 contracts
Will Heather Baxter win the 2026 South Dakota Secretary of State election?Yes 81.5%
Will Terrence Davis win the 2026 South Dakota Secretary of State election?Yes 9.5%
Will Tamara J. Lesnar win the 2026 South Dakota Secretary of State election?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas Secretary of State winner?

Arkansas Secretary of State winner?

K 47.03 contracts
Will Kim Hammer win the 2026 Arkansas Secretary of State election?Yes 91%
Will Michael Pakko win the 2026 Arkansas Secretary of State election?Yes 2.5%
Will Kelly Grappe win the 2026 Arkansas Secretary of State election?Yes 2.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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