GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date

Total Volume

$0.00

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Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date

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$0.00

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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8 markets tracked

WIll GTA6 be released by Jan 1, 2028?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
WIll GTA6 be released by Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	98%
WIll GTA6 be released by Jul 1, 2027?	Kalshi	97%
WIll GTA6 be released by Nov 30, 2026?	Kalshi	88%
WIll GTA6 be released by Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	88%
WIll GTA6 be released by Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	4%
WIll GTA6 be released by Sep 30, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
WIll GTA6 be released by Aug 31, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
WIll GTA6 be released by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

GTA 6 If GTA 6, Grand Theft Auto VI, has been released on a major platform, X Y 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Rockstar Games. Any references to Rockstar Games, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Rockstar Games and Kalshi. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** GTA 6

If GTA 6, Grand Theft Auto VI, has been released on a major platform, X Y 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Rockstar Games. Any references to Rockstar Games, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Rockstar Games and Kalshi. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If GTA 6 (Grand Theft Auto VI) has been released on a major platform (PS5, Xbox Series X/S, Windows) by Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Rockstar Games. Any references to Rockstar Games, or any associated marks a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. WIll GTA6 be released by Nov 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. WIll GTA6 be released by Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. WIll GTA6 be released by Sep 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. WIll GTA6 be released by Aug 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. WIll GTA6 be released by Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 2, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. WIll GTA6 be released by Jul 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. WIll GTA6 be released by Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. WIll GTA6 be released by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date

Volume$0.00

Markets8

8 of 8

Sort:

KALSHI

WIll GTA6 be released by Jan 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIOther

WIll GTA6 be released by Jan 1, 2028?

If GTA 6 (Grand Theft Auto VI) has been released on a major platform (PS5, Xbox Series X/S, Windows) by Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Rockstar Games. Any references to Rockstar Games, or any associated marks ar

KALSHI

WIll GTA6 be released by Jul 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

WIll GTA6 be released by Jul 1, 2027?

If GTA 6 (Grand Theft Auto VI) has been released on a major platform (PS5, Xbox Series X/S, Windows) by Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Rockstar Games. Any references to Rockstar Games, or any associated marks ar

KALSHI

WIll GTA6 be released by Nov 30, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHIOther

WIll GTA6 be released by Nov 30, 2026?

If GTA 6 (Grand Theft Auto VI) has been released on a major platform (PS5, Xbox Series X/S, Windows) by Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Rockstar Games. Any references to Rockstar Games, or any associated marks a

KALSHI

WIll GTA6 be released by Dec 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHIOther

WIll GTA6 be released by Dec 31, 2026?

If GTA 6 (Grand Theft Auto VI) has been released on a major platform (PS5, Xbox Series X/S, Windows) by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Rockstar Games. Any references to Rockstar Games, or any associated marks a

KALSHI

WIll GTA6 be released by Oct 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIOther

WIll GTA6 be released by Oct 31, 2026?

If GTA 6 (Grand Theft Auto VI) has been released on a major platform (PS5, Xbox Series X/S, Windows) by Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Rockstar Games. Any references to Rockstar Games, or any associated marks a

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/BVHQH5" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date"></iframe>

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Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date

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WIll GTA6 be released by Jan 1, 2028?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date

Markets (8)

WIll GTA6 be released by Jan 1, 2028?

WIll GTA6 be released by Jan 1, 2028?

WIll GTA6 be released by Jul 1, 2027?

WIll GTA6 be released by Jul 1, 2027?

WIll GTA6 be released by Nov 30, 2026?

WIll GTA6 be released by Nov 30, 2026?

WIll GTA6 be released by Dec 31, 2026?

WIll GTA6 be released by Dec 31, 2026?

WIll GTA6 be released by Oct 31, 2026?

WIll GTA6 be released by Oct 31, 2026?

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Discussion

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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WIll GTA6 be released by Jan 1, 2028?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date

WIll GTA6 be released by Jan 1, 2028?

WIll GTA6 be released by Jan 1, 2028?

WIll GTA6 be released by Jul 1, 2027?

WIll GTA6 be released by Jul 1, 2027?

WIll GTA6 be released by Nov 30, 2026?

WIll GTA6 be released by Nov 30, 2026?

WIll GTA6 be released by Dec 31, 2026?

WIll GTA6 be released by Dec 31, 2026?

WIll GTA6 be released by Oct 31, 2026?

WIll GTA6 be released by Oct 31, 2026?

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