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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Jeonnam–Gwangju Mayoral Election Winner

Name: Jeonnam–Gwangju Mayoral Election Winner
End: 2026-06-03T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$4.20K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Jeonnam–Gwangju Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

$4.20K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $4.20K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.20K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will Lee Jung-hyun win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Lee Jung-hyun win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election?	Poly	98%
Will Min Hyung-bae win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$4.20K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based sol

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Jeonnam–Gwangju Mayoral Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** The Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based sol

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the ma"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.15)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Lee Jung-hyun win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Min Hyung-bae win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $960
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics