BNB Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single binary contract on Polymarket, titled "BNB Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The stated resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T17:25:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers comparing these should convert carefully. The listed end time is a contract closing time, not evidence of when the outcome has been determined.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-26T21:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-26T22:50:06Z [1]. The quoted prices are "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are observed values from the earlier observation time. They are not live quotes, they are not executable prices, and they should not be read as verified probabilities.
The two outcomes are the only ones in the saved sample, and the provider lists the event as active [1]. The coverage record shows one market in the event, all included, with no partial sample [1]. The saved data does not include volume, order book depth, or the number of traders, so it says nothing about liquidity or how widely the view is held.
Because this is one contract, there is no cross-platform or cross-event comparison here. A price difference between this contract and a contract with different rules, a different window, or a different data source would not by itself indicate an opportunity, since their resolution terms may differ.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are where they are, and this summary does not attempt to. It also does not report any BNB news, price history, or the state of the market after the retrieval time. The outcome depends on Chainlink TWAP values during the stated window, which are not included in the supplied material. Whether the contract resolves to "Up" or "Down" cannot be determined from this snapshot.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This market is a short-interval price contract on BNB, listed on Polymarket under the title "BNB Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET" [1]. The contract covers a five-minute window on October 27, 2026. Under its rules, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of the window. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The contract is therefore about the direction of the averaged price across the window compared with its starting level, not simply whether the price is higher at the end. The resolution source is named in the rules as Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream, with a 60-second TWAP stream identified in the source link [1]. The rules state that only this Chainlink data stream counts. Other data feeds and spot markets are not used to settle the market [1]. Traders reading the price should therefore focus on this specific data stream rather than on prices quoted elsewhere. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T17:25:00Z, which is 1:25 PM Eastern Time on that date [1]. The provider status at retrieval was active [1]. The market snapshot in this article was observed at 2026-10-26T21:00:06Z, before the listed end time. Those prices show how the market was priced at that observation point. They do not describe the market's status today or the eventual outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average of the BNB/USD price, as reported by a specified Chainlink data stream, finishes at or above the price at the beginning of a five-minute window [1]. Because the average is taken over the window, a single price at the start or end does not by itself decide the result. The rules also limit settlement to the named Chainlink stream, so the contract is defined by a specific data feed rather than by general market prices [1]. For readers, this means the contract's meaning depends on the stated methodology and source as much as on the asset's price.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and Down otherwise [1].
Which price source is used for settlement?
The rules name Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and state that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
When does the contract's window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T17:25:00Z, which corresponds to 1:25 PM Eastern Time on October 27 [1].
Do the listed prices represent the chance that BNB goes up?
The listed prices were a snapshot taken at 2026-10-26T21:00:06Z, when the Up outcome was priced at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495 [1]. A snapshot of a contract price is not an executable quote and is not a verified probability.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.