Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Name: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot
End: 2026-10-19T02:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$11.26K

Events

Markets

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Vol

$11.26K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $11.26K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.26K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	86%
Paul vs. Vacherot: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	63%
Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	60%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot	Poly	59%
Set 1 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot	Poly	57%
Set 2 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot	Poly	56%
Paul vs. Vacherot: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	53%
Game Spread: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Valentin Vacherot (+1.5)	Poly	53%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot	Poly	52%
Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Paul vs. Vacherot: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	46%
Tommy Paul vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	40%
Set Handicap: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Valentin Vacherot (+1.5)	Poly	37%
Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	35%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$11.26K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Valentin Vacherot in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Valentin Vacherot. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Valentin Vacherot in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Valentin Vacherot.

This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Tommy Paul.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days a

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Valentin Vacherot in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Valentin Vacherot.

This market will resolve to 'Valentin V"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $350.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.03)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $10.5K
  DATA: [Tommy Paul: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [Valentin Vacherot: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Tommy Paul: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [Valentin Vacherot: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Tommy Paul: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [Valentin Vacherot: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Tommy Paul vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Paul vs. Vacherot: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Paul vs. Vacherot: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $94
  DATA: [Over: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Paul vs. Vacherot: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $113
  DATA: [Over: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Valentin Vacherot (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $506
  DATA: [Tommy Paul: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [Valentin Vacherot: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Valentin Vacherot (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Tommy Paul: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [Valentin Vacherot: 47.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Volume$11.26K

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

POLYMARKET

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

POLYMARKET

Tommy Paul vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Tommy Paul vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Valentin Vacherot in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and

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Oct 19, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

52¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/BclIcj" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot"></iframe>

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

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Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Markets (16)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Set 1 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Set 1 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Set 2 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Set 2 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Tommy Paul vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Tommy Paul vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Set 1 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Set 1 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Set 2 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Set 2 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Tommy Paul vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Tommy Paul vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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