GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

Name: Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
End: 2026-10-26T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$30.00K

Events

Markets

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Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

Vol

$30.00K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $30.00K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $30.00K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

31 markets tracked

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(31)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	98%
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	97%
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	91%
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	77%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	48%
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	41%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	36%
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	22%
Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	17%
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	15%
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	13%
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	13%
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	13%
Will Bukayo Saka finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	9%
Will Pedri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	8%
Will Mohamed Salah finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	8%
Will Raphinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	5%
Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	5%
Will Julian Alvarez finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	5%
Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	4%
Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	4%
Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	3%
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	3%
Will Vinícius Júnior finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	3%
Will Desire Doue finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	3%
Will Enzo Fernandez finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	2%
Will Cole Palmer finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	2%
Will Federico Valverde finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	1%
Will Rodrygo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	1%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	1%
Will Dominik Szoboszlai finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$30.00K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve "No." If more than 5 players tie for the top 5 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official top 5 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 26, 2026 (52 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve "No."

If more than 5 players tie for the top 5 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official top 5 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harry Kane officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:5"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $30.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $50.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.60)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $519
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $322
  DATA: [Yes: 12.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Mohamed Salah finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $345
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Vinícius Júnior finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $69
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Pedri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.8% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Cole Palmer finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $97
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $105
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Federico Valverde finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Julian Alvarez finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $120
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Desire Doue finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $440
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Raphinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.6% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $41
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $153
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $71
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.9% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Dominik Szoboszlai finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $442
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Cristiano Ronaldo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $477
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Rodrygo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $799
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Enzo Fernandez finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $150
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Bukayo Saka finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 8.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

Volume$30.00K

Markets31

31 of 31

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POLYMARKET

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 97.9¢No 2.1¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harry Kane officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:5

POLYMARKET

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 97.0¢No 2.9¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11

POLYMARKET

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 1

POLYMARKET

Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodri officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM

POLYMARKET

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Khvicha Kvaratskhelia officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31,

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Next Market Closes

51d 1h remaining

Oct 26, 2026 11:59 PM

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21¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/BnUZIT" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026"></iframe>

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Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

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Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

Markets (31)

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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