Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

Total Volume

$7.28K

Events

Markets

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When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

Vol

$7.28K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $7.28K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.28K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?	Kalshi	91%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?	Kalshi	83%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?	Kalshi	68%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Mar 31, 2027?	Kalshi	49%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	29%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$7.28K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

Claude 6+ (any family) If Anthropic releases Claude 6+, any family, before X Y 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Anthropic release Claude 6?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Claude 6+ (any family)

If Anthropic releases Claude 6+, any family, before X Y 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Anthropic releases Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

 Early close condition: This market will close and expire e"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 7, 2027): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Mar 31, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 7, 2027): Vol $699
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

Volume$7.28K

Markets5

5 of 5

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KALSHI

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?

If Anthropic releases Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire e

KALSHI

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.5¢No 17.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?

If Anthropic releases Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire e

KALSHI

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 67.5¢No 32.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?

If Anthropic releases Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire e

KALSHI

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Mar 31, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Mar 31, 2027?

If Anthropic releases Claude 6+ (any family) before Mar 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire e

KALSHI

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 28.5¢No 71.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2026?

If Anthropic releases Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire e

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64¢

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When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

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Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

Markets (5)

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Mar 31, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Mar 31, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2026?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2026?

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Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Mar 31, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Mar 31, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2026?

Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2026?

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