Name: AZ vs. SBV Excelsior - More Markets
End: 2025-12-14T15:45:00.000Z

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AZ vs. SBV Excelsior - More Markets | PredictPedia

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5 markets tracked

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 2.5

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	52%
AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 3.5	Poly	52%
AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to Score	Poly	51%
AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 1.5	Poly	50%
Spread: AZ (-1.5)	Poly	24%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** AZ vs. SBV Excelsior - More Markets
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 14, 2025 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** More markets for the Eredivisie game, scheduled for December 14 at 10:45 AM ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for December 14 at 10:45 AM ET:

This market will resolve to "AZ" if AZ win the game by 2 or more goals.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "SBV Excelsior".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $31.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.1K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 28.79)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Spread: AZ (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 14, 2025): Vol $20.6K
  DATA: [AZ: 24.1% (0.0%)] | [SBV Excelsior: 75.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 1.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 14, 2025): Vol $574
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 14, 2025): Vol $6
  DATA: [Over: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 14, 2025): Vol $30
  DATA: [Over: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to Score
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 14, 2025): Vol $10.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

46¢

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AZ vs. SBV Excelsior - More Markets

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior - More Markets

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AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 2.5

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Educational Context

Events (1)

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior - More Markets

Markets (5)

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to Score

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to Score

Spread: AZ (-1.5)

Spread: AZ (-1.5)

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 1.5

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 1.5

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 2.5

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 2.5

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 3.5

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 3.5

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 2.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior - More Markets

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to Score

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to Score

Spread: AZ (-1.5)

Spread: AZ (-1.5)

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 1.5

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 1.5

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 2.5

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 2.5

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 3.5

AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Over/Under 3.5

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