Kraken IPO by ___ ? | PredictPedia

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Name: Kraken IPO by ___ ?
End: 2025-12-31T12:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$669.56K

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Markets

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Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Vol

$669.56K

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $669.56K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $669.56K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?	Poly	86%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Poly	81%
Kraken IPO in 2025?	Poly	32%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$669.56K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early i

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Kraken IPO by ___ ?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2025 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early i

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $187.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.6K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 40.78)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Kraken IPO in 2025?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $155.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $19.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $12.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 81.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

66¢

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Kraken IPO by ___ ?

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Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

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About This Event

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Markets (3)

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Kraken IPO in 2025?

Kraken IPO in 2025?

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Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Kraken IPO in 2025?

Kraken IPO in 2025?

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