GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Oscar winner: Best Picture

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$0.00

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Trade on Kalshi

Oscar winner: Best Picture

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$0.00

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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34 markets tracked

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?

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Single-Platform Markets(34)

Market	Platform	Price
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	37%
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	17%
Will Digger win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	10%
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	8%
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	8%
Will The Black Ball win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	4%
Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	3%
Will Fjord win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	3%
Will The Debut win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	2%
Will Josephine win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	2%
Will Behemoth win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	2%
Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	2%
Will Obsession win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jack of Spades win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Parallel Tales win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Minotaur win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Hope win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Paper Tiger win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Werwulf win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Tie win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Sense and Sensibility win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Narnia: The Magician's Nephew win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Michael win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Ink win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will I Love Boosters win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will The Entertainment System Is Down win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will The Drama win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Disclosure Day win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will The Death of Robin Hood win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Cry to Heaven win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Artificial win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will All of a Sudden win Best Picture at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

37%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

In 2027 If X has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99thth Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Oscar winner: Best Picture
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2027

If X has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99thth Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If The Debut has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99thth Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027.

This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will The Debut win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Obsession win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Jack of Spades win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will The Black Ball win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Parallel Tales win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Minotaur win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Hope win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Paper Tiger win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Werwulf win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Tie win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Sense and Sensibility win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Narnia: The Magician's Nephew win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Michael win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Josephine win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Ink win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will I Love Boosters win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Fjord win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will The Entertainment System Is Down win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will The Drama win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Disclosure Day win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Digger win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will The Death of Robin Hood win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Cry to Heaven win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Behemoth win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Artificial win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will All of a Sudden win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Oscar winner: Best Picture

Volume$0.00

Markets34

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KALSHI

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢

KALSHISports

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?

If The Odyssey has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are

KALSHI

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the Oscars?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the Oscars?

If Dune: Part Three has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated mark

KALSHI

Will Digger win Best Picture at the Oscars?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Digger win Best Picture at the Oscars?

If Digger has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are desc

KALSHI

Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the Oscars?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the Oscars?

If Wild Horse Nine has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks

KALSHI

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the Oscars?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the Oscars?

If Project Hail Mary has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated mar

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Events (1)

Oscar winner: Best Picture

Markets (34)

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Digger win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Digger win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the Oscars?

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Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Oscar winner: Best Picture

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Digger win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Digger win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the Oscars?

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