Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

Name: Israel Election: Together # of seats?
End: 2026-10-27T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.23K

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Israel Election: Together # of seats?

Vol

$6.23K

Events

Markets

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Polymarket

markets · $6.23K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.23K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Poly	25%
Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Poly	25%
Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Poly	23%
Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Poly	19%
Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Poly	14%
Will Together win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Poly	13%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

25%

Top Probability

$6.23K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list throug

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Israel Election: Together # of seats?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 27, 2026 (17 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list throug

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $29.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.21)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $945
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $547
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Together win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $276
  DATA: [Yes: 12.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.3% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $273
  DATA: [Yes: 14.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld