GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US solar capacity installed in 2026

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US solar capacity installed in 2026

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Will at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?	Kalshi	98%
Will at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?	Kalshi	93%
Will at least 45 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?	Kalshi	74%
Will at least 50 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?	Kalshi	53%
Will at least 55 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?	Kalshi	15%

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98%

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About This Event

In 2026 If at least X GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the year-end report for the year is released. This market will close and expire early if the year-end report for the year is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US solar capacity installed in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If at least X GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the year-end report for the year is released. This market will close and expire early if the year-end report for the year is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If at least 55 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the year-end report for the year is released."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will at least 55 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will at least 50 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will at least 45 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.4% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US solar capacity installed in 2026

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KALSHI

Will at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIClimate

Will at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

If at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the year-end report for the year is released.

KALSHI

Will at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

If at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the year-end report for the year is released.

KALSHI

Will at least 45 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.6¢No 26.4¢

KALSHIClimate

Will at least 45 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

If at least 45 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the year-end report for the year is released.

KALSHI

Will at least 50 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.6¢No 47.4¢

KALSHIClimate

Will at least 50 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

If at least 50 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the year-end report for the year is released.

KALSHI

Will at least 55 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢

KALSHIClimate

Will at least 55 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

If at least 55 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the year-end report for the year is released.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Bv5sy5" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US solar capacity installed in 2026"></iframe>

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US solar capacity installed in​ 2026

US solar capacity installed in​ 2026

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Will at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

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Events (1)

US solar capacity installed in​ 2026

Markets (5)

Will at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 45 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 45 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 50 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 50 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 55 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 55 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

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Will at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US solar capacity installed in​ 2026

Will at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 45 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 45 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 50 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 50 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 55 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Will at least 55 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

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US solar capacity installed in 2026

US solar capacity installed in 2026

US solar capacity installed in 2026

US solar capacity installed in 2026