Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Simonsson vs Papavasiliu

Total Volume

$6.00

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Markets

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Simonsson vs Papavasiliu

Vol

$6.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $6.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Jan Simonsson wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Jan Simonsson wins	Kalshi	83%
Nikolaos Papavasiliu wins	Kalshi	16%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

83%

Top Probability

$6.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Simonsson vs Papavasiliu (Oct 13) If X wins the Simonsson vs Papavasiliu professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Simonsson vs Papavasiliu professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancella

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Simonsson vs Papavasiliu
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Simonsson vs Papavasiliu (Oct 13)

If X wins the Simonsson vs Papavasiliu professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Simonsson vs Papavasiliu professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancella

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Jan Simonsson wins the Simonsson vs Papavasiliu professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Simonsson vs Papavasiliu professional tennis match in the 2026"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Jan Simonsson wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Nikolaos Papavasiliu wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Simonsson vs Papavasiliu

Volume$6.00

Markets2

2 of 2

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KALSHI

Jan Simonsson wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.5¢No 17.5¢

KALSHISports

Jan Simonsson wins

If Jan Simonsson wins the Simonsson vs Papavasiliu professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Simonsson vs Papavasiliu professional tennis match in the 2026

KALSHI

Nikolaos Papavasiliu wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢

KALSHISports

Nikolaos Papavasiliu wins

If Nikolaos Papavasiliu wins the Simonsson vs Papavasiliu professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Simonsson vs Papavasiliu professional tennis match in t

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Jan Simonsson wins

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Simonsson vs Papavasiliu

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Jan Simonsson wins

Jan Simonsson wins

Nikolaos Papavasiliu wins

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Simonsson vs Papavasiliu

Jan Simonsson wins

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