Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Price of Dozen Eggs in September?

Name: Price of Dozen Eggs in September?
End: 2026-10-15T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$31.50K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Price of Dozen Eggs in September?

Vol

$31.50K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $31.50K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $31.50K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?	Poly	53%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in September?	Poly	27%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in September?	Poly	14%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.60 and $2.70 in September?	Poly	6%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.40 and $2.50 in September?	Poly	4%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.90 and $2.00 in September?	Poly	4%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00 and $2.10 in September?	Poly	3%
Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$2.70 in September?	Poly	2%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in September?	Poly	2%
Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.90 in September?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

Top Probability

$31.50K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the September data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The September release is presently scheduled for October 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Price of Dozen Eggs in September?
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 15, 2026 (4 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the September data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).

The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The September release is presently scheduled for October 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the September data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).

The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $31.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $11.8K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.68)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.90 in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $924
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.90 and $2.00 in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $246
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00 and $2.10 in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $599
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $16.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.40 and $2.50 in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $483
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $468
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.60 and $2.70 in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $479
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$2.70 in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $236
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy