Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Winner

Total Volume

$138.00

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Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Winner

Vol

$138.00

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $138.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $138.00

100%

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2 markets tracked

Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match

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Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match	Kalshi	70%
Will Pablo Carreno Busta win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match	Kalshi	32%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

70%

Top Probability

$138.00

Volume

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About This Event

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 (Oct 10) If X wins set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellat

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 (Oct 10)

If X wins set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellat

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Pablo Carreno Busta wins set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $138
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Pablo Carreno Busta win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $132
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Winner

Volume$138.00

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KALSHI

Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.0¢No 30.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match

If Felix Auger-Aliassime wins set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tenni

KALSHI

Will Pablo Carreno Busta win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Pablo Carreno Busta win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match

If Pablo Carreno Busta wins set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis

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Average Yes Price

51¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/C0AdW2" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Winner"></iframe>

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Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Winner

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Winner

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Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match

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Events (1)

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Winner

Markets (2)

Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match

Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match

Will Pablo Carreno Busta win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match

Will Pablo Carreno Busta win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match

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Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match

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Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Winner

Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match

Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match

Will Pablo Carreno Busta win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match

Will Pablo Carreno Busta win set 1 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match

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