Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Name: Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci
End: 2026-10-19T02:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$82.26

Events

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Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Vol

$82.26

Events

Markets

Polymarket

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Polymarket

markets · $82.26

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $82.26

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Elias Ymer (+1.5)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Elias Ymer (+1.5)	Poly	55%
Jinan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci	Poly	52%
Set 2 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci	Poly	50%
Ymer vs. Bellucci: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Ymer vs. Bellucci: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Ymer vs. Bellucci: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Ymer vs. Bellucci: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Ymer vs. Bellucci: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Ymer vs. Bellucci: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Ymer vs. Bellucci: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	49%
Ymer vs. Bellucci: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	40%
Ymer vs. Bellucci: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	40%
Game Spread: Mattia Bellucci (-5.5) vs Elias Ymer (+5.5)	Poly	37%
Elias Ymer vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	33%
Set 1 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci	Poly	29%
Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci	Poly	20%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

55%

Top Probability

$82.26

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Mattia Bellucci. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Elias Ymer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start)

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Mattia Bellucci.

This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Elias Ymer.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start)

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Mattia Bellucci.

This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bell"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $82
* **Total Liquidity:** $8.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $82
  DATA: [Elias Ymer: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [Mattia Bellucci: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Jinan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Elias Ymer: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [Mattia Bellucci: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Elias Ymer: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Mattia Bellucci: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Elias Ymer vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Ymer vs. Bellucci: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Ymer vs. Bellucci: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Ymer vs. Bellucci: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Ymer vs. Bellucci: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Ymer vs. Bellucci: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Ymer vs. Bellucci: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Ymer vs. Bellucci: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Ymer vs. Bellucci: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Ymer vs. Bellucci: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Elias Ymer (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Mattia Bellucci: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [Elias Ymer: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Mattia Bellucci (-5.5) vs Elias Ymer (+5.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Mattia Bellucci: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [Elias Ymer: 63.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Volume$82.26

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Jinan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Jinan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played t

POLYMARKET

Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Elias Ymer” if Elias Ymer wins the first set. It will resolve to “Mattia Bellucci” if Mattia Bellucci wins the first set.

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Elias Ymer” if Elias Ymer wins set 2. It will resolve to “Mattia Bellucci” if Mattia Bellucci wins set 2. If the match beg

POLYMARKET

Elias Ymer vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Elias Ymer vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" otherwi

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Oct 19, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

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43¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/C4aaXN" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci"></iframe>

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Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Elias Ymer (+1.5)

AI Analysis

About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Markets (16)

Jinan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Jinan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Set 1 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Set 1 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Set 2 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Set 2 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Elias Ymer vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Elias Ymer vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Elias Ymer (+1.5)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Jinan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Jinan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Set 1 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Set 1 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Set 2 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Set 2 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Elias Ymer vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Elias Ymer vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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