Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?

Name: Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$118.77K

Events

Markets

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Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $118.77K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $118.77K

100%

Polymarket leads

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1 market tracked

Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?	Poly	96%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$118.77K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Keon Hee is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, including but not limited to allegations of stock price manipulation, bribery, election interference, abuse of power, or criminal acts related to Yoon Suk Yeol’s martial law declaration and related subsequent actions, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through March 31, 2026 or until Kim Keon Hee is sentenced to time in ja

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (75 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Keon Hee is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, including but not limited to allegations of stock price manipulation, bribery, election interference, abuse of power, or criminal acts related to Yoon Suk Yeol’s martial law declaration and related subsequent actions, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open through March 31, 2026 or until Kim Keon Hee is sentenced to time in ja

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Keon Hee is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, including but not limited to allegations of stock price manipulation, bribery, election interference, abuse of power, or criminal acts related to Yoon Suk Yeol’s martial law declaration and rel"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $118.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.0K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 29.73)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $118.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

74d 15h remaining

Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

96¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/C5Bb2z" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?"></iframe>

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Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?

Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?

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Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)