Who will Trump mention during his State of the Union address? | PredictPedia

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

34 markets tracked

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Biden)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(34)

Market	Platform	Price
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Biden)	Kalshi	88%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Charlie Kirk)	Kalshi	67%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Marco / Rubio)	Kalshi	52%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Lincoln)	Kalshi	50%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (President Xi)	Kalshi	49%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Elon / Musk)	Kalshi	47%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Hegseth)	Kalshi	40%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Pam / Bondi)	Kalshi	39%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Kamala)	Kalshi	37%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Putin)	Kalshi	36%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Newsom / Newscum)	Kalshi	34%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Thune)	Kalshi	33%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Homan)	Kalshi	29%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Reagan)	Kalshi	28%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Kristi / Noem)	Kalshi	28%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Kash / Patel)	Kalshi	28%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Witkoff)	Kalshi	28%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Schumer)	Kalshi	28%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Modi)	Kalshi	28%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Karoline / Leavitt)	Kalshi	28%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Jared / Kushner)	Kalshi	28%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Howard / Lutnick)	Kalshi	28%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Clinton)	Kalshi	28%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Bibi / Netanyahu)	Kalshi	28%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Bessent)	Kalshi	28%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Zelensky)	Kalshi	27%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Walz)	Kalshi	27%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Obama)	Kalshi	27%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Usha)	Kalshi	25%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Zohran / Mamdani)	Kalshi	23%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Keir / Starmer)	Kalshi	23%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Pelosi)	Kalshi	21%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Prince Mohammed)	Kalshi	19%
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Pocahontas)	Kalshi	19%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will Trump mention during his State of the Union address?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Feb 24, 2026

If Donald Trump says X / Y as part of 2026 State of the Union, then the market resolves to Yes. Video of the 2026 State of the Union will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the 2026 State of the Union will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are othe

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Donald Trump says Zohran / Mamdani as part of 2026 State of the Union, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the 2026 State of the Union will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the 2026 Sta"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $15.06M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Zohran / Mamdani)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $35
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Zelensky)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $91
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Witkoff)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Walz)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $85
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Usha)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Thune)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Schumer)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $57
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Reagan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Putin)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $68
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Prince Mohammed)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $98
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (President Xi)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $266
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Pocahontas)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Pelosi)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Pam / Bondi)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Obama)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $52
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Newsom / Newscum)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $497
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Modi)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Marco / Rubio)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Lincoln)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Kristi / Noem)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Keir / Starmer)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Kash / Patel)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Karoline / Leavitt)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Kamala)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $18
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Jared / Kushner)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Howard / Lutnick)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Homan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $54
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Hegseth)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $148
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Elon / Musk)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $208
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Clinton)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Charlie Kirk)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $554
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Biden)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $39
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Bibi / Netanyahu)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $49
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Bessent)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2026): Vol $48
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

34¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/CGEqZX" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will Trump mention during his State of the Union address?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Who will Trump mention during his State of the Union address?

Who will Trump mention during his State of the Union address?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Biden)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will Trump mention during his State of the Union address?

Markets (34)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Biden)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Biden)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Charlie Kirk)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Charlie Kirk)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Marco / Rubio)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Marco / Rubio)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Lincoln)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Lincoln)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (President Xi)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (President Xi)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Community Discussion

Market Insights

Social Sentiment

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Biden)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will Trump mention during his State of the Union address?

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Biden)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Biden)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Charlie Kirk)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Charlie Kirk)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Marco / Rubio)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Marco / Rubio)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Lincoln)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (Lincoln)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (President Xi)

What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union? (President Xi)

Related News & Context

Share

Embed Widget