This prediction market concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game scheduled for February 28, 2025, at 2:00 PM Eastern Time. The game features the Navy Midshipmen visiting the Colgate Raiders. The market allows participants to wager on which team will win the contest. The event is part of the regular season schedule for both teams within the Patriot League, a Division I conference of the NCAA. The game will be played at Cotterell Court in Hamilton, New York, which is Colgate's home arena. Prediction markets for individual college basketball games have grown in popularity as platforms seek to offer more granular betting opportunities beyond traditional sportsbooks. These markets function as real-time indicators of collective sentiment regarding a specific event's outcome. The interest stems from the competitive nature of Patriot League basketball, the unique military academy background of Navy, and the direct implications for conference standings as the regular season approaches its conclusion in late February. The market includes specific rules for contingencies: if the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion; if canceled without a makeup date, the market resolves with a 50-50 split between the two outcomes.

Historical Context

The Navy and Colgate women's basketball programs have been conference rivals since Navy joined the Patriot League for the 1991-92 season. The series history dates back to at least the early 1990s. Colgate holds a historical advantage in the overall series. In recent years, the games have often been competitive, with several decided by single-digit margins. For example, during the 2023-24 season, the teams split their two regular-season meetings. Colgate won the first game at home 68-60 on January 20, 2024. Navy won the rematch in Annapolis 65-58 on February 17, 2024. This pattern of split series is not uncommon in the balanced Patriot League. The conference tournament, where the winner receives an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament, has often seen upsets, meaning regular season results are critical for securing favorable seeding. Neither program has recently dominated the league; the last Patriot League tournament championship for Navy was in 2013, while Colgate's last title came in 2004. This history of parity makes individual matchups particularly significant for postseason positioning.

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