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Who will be the next DNC Chair?

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Who will be the next DNC Chair?

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

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34 markets tracked

Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

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Single-Platform Markets(34)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	20%
Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	19%
Will Shasti Conrad be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	4%
Will Virginia McGregor be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Tim Walz be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Sherrod Brown be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Rahm Emanuel be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Quintessa Hathaway be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Pramila Jayapal be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Stacey Abrams be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Reyna Walters-Morgan be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Ro Khanna be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Jason Rae be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Pete Buttigieg be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Nate Snyder be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Marianne Williamson be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Mitch Landrieu be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Malcolm Kenyatta be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Michael Blake be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Laphonza Butler be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Jon Tester be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will James Skoufis be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will J.B. Pritzker be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Jason Paul be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Jane Kleeb be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Jaime Harrison be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Howard Dean be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will David Hogg be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Chris Korge be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Ben Wikler be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Amanda Litman be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Artie Blanco be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%
Will Andy Beshear be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?	Kalshi	3%

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Before Jan 1, 2045 If X formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2045, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee" means that an individual, company, or group has assumed Chair of the Democratic National Committee in an official capacity—whether by appointment, election, succession, confirmation, designation, or acting/interim

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be the next DNC Chair?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2045

If X formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2045, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee" means that an individual, company, or group has assumed Chair of the Democratic National Committee in an official capacity—whether by appointment, election, succession, confirmation, designation, or acting/interim 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Virginia McGregor formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2045, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee" m"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Virginia McGregor be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tim Walz be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Shasti Conrad be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Sherrod Brown be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Stacey Abrams be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Reyna Walters-Morgan be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ro Khanna be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.1% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Rahm Emanuel be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Quintessa Hathaway be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Pramila Jayapal be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Pete Buttigieg be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Nate Snyder be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Marianne Williamson be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Mitch Landrieu be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Malcolm Kenyatta be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Michael Blake be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Laphonza Butler be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Jon Tester be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will James Skoufis be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Jason Rae be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will J.B. Pritzker be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Jason Paul be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Jane Kleeb be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Jaime Harrison be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Howard Dean be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Gretchen Whitmer be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will David Hogg be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Chris Korge be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Ben Wikler be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Amanda Litman be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Artie Blanco be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Andy Beshear be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Who will be the next DNC Chair?

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Markets34

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KALSHI

Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

If Faiz Shakir formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2045, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee" means t

KALSHI

Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.0¢No 81.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

If Martin O’Malley formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2045, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee" mea

KALSHI

Will Shasti Conrad be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.9¢No 96.1¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Shasti Conrad be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

If Shasti Conrad formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2045, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee" means

KALSHI

Will Virginia McGregor be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.1¢No 96.9¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Virginia McGregor be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

If Virginia McGregor formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2045, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee" m

KALSHI

Will Tim Walz be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.1¢No 96.9¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Tim Walz be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

If Tim Walz formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2045, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee" means that

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Who will be the next DNC Chair?

Who will be the next DNC Chair?

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Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

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Events (1)

Who will be the next DNC Chair?

Markets (34)

Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Shasti Conrad be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Shasti Conrad be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Virginia McGregor be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Virginia McGregor be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Tim Walz be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Tim Walz be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

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Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will be the next DNC Chair?

Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Shasti Conrad be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Shasti Conrad be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Virginia McGregor be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Virginia McGregor be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Tim Walz be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will Tim Walz be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

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