GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner

Name: Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner
End: 2027-02-11T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$4.54K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner

Vol

$4.54K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $4.54K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.54K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	18%
Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	16%
Will Caleb Downs win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	11%
Will Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	9%
Will Mansoor Delane win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	6%
Will Sonny Styles win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	6%
Will Akheem Mesidor win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	4%
Will Malachi Lawrence win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

18%

Top Probability

$4.54K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no w

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 11, 2027 (160 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no w

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $16.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.27)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $266
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Sonny Styles win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $155
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Caleb Downs win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $654
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Mansoor Delane win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Akheem Mesidor win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Malachi Lawrence win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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