Snapshot observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The saved event is "Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Offensive Rookie of the Year Winner" on Polymarket. Its rules state that the market "will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season" [1]. Ties go to the official winner under NFL rules, and if several winners are announced, the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically is used [1].

The rules also set a fallback. If the season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared in that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. Each named player has a separate Yes/No contract, so the five contracts should be read individually, not as one ranking of finished outcomes.

The listed end time is 2027-03-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time, not an announced date for the award.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-18T06:00:06Z, and our retrieval occurred at 2026-10-18T07:50:44Z [1]. These are snapshot Yes prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Among the five named players, the Yes prices were:

• Jeremiyah Love: 0.215
• Fernando Mendoza: 0.0445
• Makai Lemon: 0.0255
• Omar Cooper Jr.: 0.009
• Mike Washington Jr.: 0.007

The sample includes all five markets saved for this event, and the sample is not partial [1]. The sample does not show a price for "Other," so that outcome cannot be compared with the named players here. The five Yes prices total about 0.301, which leaves the rest of the distribution unpriced in this record. Volume data is not included in this record, so no statement about liquidity or trader count is possible.

What remains uncertain

The source notes that the providers do not establish a complete list of possible real-world outcomes [1]. The record does not explain why prices are at these levels, and it does not include recent reporting on the players. Because the contract closes in 2027, these snapshots describe conditions at the observation time only and say nothing about the eventual award.

References

1. Polymarket: Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Offensive Rookie of the Year Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z.