Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
Yale Bulldogs vs. Columbia Lions (W)
Total Volume
$1.56K
Events
1
Markets
1
Yale Bulldogs vs. Columbia Lions (W)
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $1.56K
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $1.56K
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
Yale Bulldogs vs. Columbia Lions (W)
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 16% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
16%
Top Probability
$1.56K
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This event is for the WBB game between Yale Bulldogs and Columbia Lions on January 17 at 2:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Current Market Outlook
The prediction market currently prices a Yale Bulldogs victory at just 12¢, implying a 12% probability of winning their January 17 women's basketball game against the Columbia Lions. Conversely, the implied probability for a Columbia victory is 88%. This lopsided pricing indicates the market views Columbia as a heavy favorite, with Yale's chances seen as remote but not impossible. The thin trading volume of approximately $1,000 suggests this is a niche market with limited participant consensus, though the clear price disparity is notable.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The primary factor is Columbia's strong position within the Ivy League. The Lions have established themselves as a consistent contender, often featuring a more potent offense and tougher defense compared to Yale. Historical head-to-head results likely favor Columbia, contributing to the market's confidence. Secondly, Yale's performance trajectory this season is a key driver. If the Bulldogs have struggled, particularly in conference play or with offensive efficiency, the market amplifies those weaknesses when priced against a top-tier opponent like Columbia. Home-court advantage, if applicable for this game, would further cement these odds.
What Could Change These Odds
A significant injury report involving a key Columbia player before tip-off could rapidly shift the odds, making the game appear more competitive. Conversely, confirmation of a Yale star player's absence would likely push Yale's odds even lower. The thin liquidity means odds are volatile to new information or even modest trading interest. A sharp bettor or group entering the market to back Yale based on undisclosed tactical insights or favorable matchup data could cause a temporary price spike, though the fundamental athletic disparity would likely keep Yale as the clear underdog.
Cross-Platform Analysis
This specific game is only trading on Polymarket, with no comparable market on Kalshi. This single-platform listing is common for lower-profile collegiate events and contributes to the low liquidity. The absence of a competing market eliminates arbitrage opportunities but also means the 12% probability reflects a limited pool of capital, potentially making it more sensitive to sentiment than a heavily traded market would be.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.