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1 market tracked

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| Market | Platform | Price |
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![]() | Poly | 16% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This event is for the WBB game between Yale Bulldogs and Columbia Lions on January 17 at 2:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The prediction market currently prices a Yale Bulldogs victory at just 12¢, implying a 12% probability of winning their January 17 women's basketball game against the Columbia Lions. Conversely, the implied probability for a Columbia victory is 88%. This lopsided pricing indicates the market views Columbia as a heavy favorite, with Yale's chances seen as remote but not impossible. The thin trading volume of approximately $1,000 suggests this is a niche market with limited participant consensus, though the clear price disparity is notable.
The primary factor is Columbia's strong position within the Ivy League. The Lions have established themselves as a consistent contender, often featuring a more potent offense and tougher defense compared to Yale. Historical head-to-head results likely favor Columbia, contributing to the market's confidence. Secondly, Yale's performance trajectory this season is a key driver. If the Bulldogs have struggled, particularly in conference play or with offensive efficiency, the market amplifies those weaknesses when priced against a top-tier opponent like Columbia. Home-court advantage, if applicable for this game, would further cement these odds.
A significant injury report involving a key Columbia player before tip-off could rapidly shift the odds, making the game appear more competitive. Conversely, confirmation of a Yale star player's absence would likely push Yale's odds even lower. The thin liquidity means odds are volatile to new information or even modest trading interest. A sharp bettor or group entering the market to back Yale based on undisclosed tactical insights or favorable matchup data could cause a temporary price spike, though the fundamental athletic disparity would likely keep Yale as the clear underdog.
This specific game is only trading on Polymarket, with no comparable market on Kalshi. This single-platform listing is common for lower-profile collegiate events and contributes to the low liquidity. The absence of a competing market eliminates arbitrage opportunities but also means the 12% probability reflects a limited pool of capital, potentially making it more sensitive to sentiment than a heavily traded market would be.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
$1.56K
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This prediction market topic concerns the outcome of a Women's Basketball (WBB) game scheduled for January 17 at 2:00 PM ET between the Yale Bulldogs and the Columbia Lions. The market allows participants to predict the winner of this specific Ivy League conference matchup. The event is governed by specific rules: if the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion, and if canceled entirely without a make-up, it resolves as a 50-50 split. This contest is a key early conference game in the 2024 Ivy League women's basketball season, with implications for both teams' standings and potential postseason positioning. Interest stems from the competitive nature of Ivy League basketball, where every conference game carries significant weight due to the league's single round-robin format and the absence of a conference tournament until the top four teams advance to the Ivy Madness postseason event. The matchup features two programs with distinct recent trajectories, making it a compelling case study in conference dynamics. Bettors and fans are analyzing team form, head-to-head history, and individual player matchups to inform their predictions.
The Yale-Columbia women's basketball rivalry is part of the broader Ivy League athletic framework, with a history spanning decades. For many years, Yale traditionally held a competitive advantage in the series. However, the dynamic has shifted dramatically under Columbia coach Megan Griffith. The Lions' rise to prominence culminated in the 2022-23 season, where they achieved a program-record 28 wins, shared the Ivy League regular-season title with Princeton, and earned an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament, a historic first for the program. In their most recent meetings during that dominant 2022-23 season, Columbia defeated Yale decisively in both matchups, winning 77-58 in New Haven on January 14, 2023, and 80-59 in New York on February 11, 2023. These results underscored Columbia's ascent and established them as the new benchmark in the conference. Historically, Ivy League women's basketball was dominated by Harvard and Dartmouth in earlier eras, followed by a prolonged period of Princeton's hegemony from the late 2000s through the 2010s. The current landscape, with Columbia's emergence and Yale's consistent contention, represents a significant evolution in conference competitiveness.
This game matters significantly within the ecosystem of Ivy League athletics and women's college basketball. For the teams, it represents a critical data point in the conference standings, where only the top four teams qualify for the Ivy Madness tournament and a chance at the NCAA automatic bid. A win or loss can directly impact seeding and postseason aspirations. For Columbia, a victory reinforces their status as a conference powerhouse and validates their historic rise. For Yale, a win would signal an ability to challenge the league's new elite and reassert their own championship credentials. Beyond the court, these programs serve as focal points for school spirit and alumni engagement. Successful seasons can boost visibility, recruitment, and fundraising for women's athletics at both institutions. The game also contributes to the growing visibility and competitiveness of mid-major women's basketball, showcasing high-level student-athletes who excel academically and athletically.
As of the lead-up to the January 17, 2024 game, both teams are engaged in their non-conference and early Ivy League schedules for the 2023-24 season. The specific won-loss records and any key injuries for this season will be the most immediate factors influencing the prediction market. Columbia enters as the defending co-champion, likely carrying a target on their back from every conference opponent, including Yale. Yale will be looking to avenge the two decisive losses from the previous season and prove they can compete with the league's best. The latest team statistics, player health reports, and results from games immediately preceding this date are the primary drivers of current analysis and betting sentiment.
If the game is postponed, the prediction market will remain open and active. It will not resolve until the game has been officially completed at a later date. All contracts remain valid until the final outcome is determined.
The game is scheduled to be played at Columbia's home court, the Schiller Court at Levien Gymnasium, in New York City. Home court advantage can be a factor in closely contested conference games.
The game will likely be broadcast on ESPN+ or the Ivy League Network as part of the conference's media rights agreement. Specific broadcast details are typically confirmed on the athletic department websites of both Yale and Columbia closer to the game date.
In their most recent meeting on February 11, 2023, the Columbia Lions defeated the Yale Bulldogs by a score of 80-59. Columbia also won the earlier matchup that season on January 14, 2023, by a score of 77-58.
Ivy Madness is the branding for the Ivy League's postseason basketball tournament. The top four teams in the regular-season standings qualify to compete in a single-elimination tournament, with the winner receiving the conference's automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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