Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027? | PredictPedia

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?

Name: Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$28.90K

Events

Markets

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Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?

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Polymarket

markets · $28.90K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $28.90K

100%

Polymarket leads

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1 market tracked

Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?	Poly	99%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$28.90K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yoon Suk Yeol is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for charges related to the 2024 South Korean political crisis, including but not limited to allegations of insurrection, abuse of power, or other criminal acts stemming from his martial law declaration and related subsequent actions by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through 2026 regardless of whether Yoon's initial sentencing includes

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (350 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yoon Suk Yeol is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for charges related to the 2024 South Korean political crisis, including but not limited to allegations of insurrection, abuse of power, or other criminal acts stemming from his martial law declaration and related subsequent actions by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open through 2026 regardless of whether Yoon's initial sentencing includes

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yoon Suk Yeol is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for charges related to the 2024 South Korean political crisis, including but not limited to allegations of insurrection, abuse of power, or other criminal acts stemming from his martial law declaration and rel"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $28.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $40.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.71)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $28.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

349d 13h remaining

Dec 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

99¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?

Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?

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Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)