Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?

Name: Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$58.78K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?

Vol

$58.78K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $58.78K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $58.78K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?	Poly	75%
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	Poly	72%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

75%

Top Probability

$58.78K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kimberly Guilfoyle ceases to be U.S. Ambassador to Greece for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kimberly Guilfoyle's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information fro

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (82 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kimberly Guilfoyle ceases to be U.S. Ambassador to Greece for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Kimberly Guilfoyle's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information fro

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kimberly Guilfoyle ceases to be U.S. Ambassador to Greece for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Kimberly Guilfoyle's resignation/removal by this market'"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $58.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $64.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.92)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $27.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $31.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 72.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics