BNB Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
PM $189.31
1
1
BNB Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
PM $189.31
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $189.31
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BNB/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract is titled "BNB Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET" and is listed on Polymarket [1]. Its rule states that it "will resolve to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is "information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD data stream" [1]. The provider also says the market "is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BNB/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets" [1].
The contract's listed end time is 2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z [1]. The provider status in the same source is "active" [1]. Because the listed end time is earlier than the retrieval date in this snapshot, the evidence does not show the contract's present status beyond that provider label. It also does not show a resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T01:29:10.534Z [1]. These are two different times, and both describe a past snapshot rather than a live quote.
The saved prices are Up at 0.9995 and Down at 0.0005 [1]. These are snapshot prices from one provider. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The sample contains one market from one platform, with no other event included. Its coverage is marked as complete for the saved event, with one of one markets included and no partial sample [1]. The evidence does not allow comparison with any other platform or contract. Differences in wording or close time between contracts would matter for any such comparison, but none are supplied here.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the BNB price at the start or end of the 10:45 to 11:00 AM ET window. It does not show whether the contract has resolved or which side it settled on. It does not explain why the Up price was high at the observation time. Volume and trader counts are not included, and volume would not show liquidity or the number of participants if it were.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This is a short-term crypto price contract listed on Polymarket under the title "BNB Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of BNB, a cryptocurrency, will be higher or lower at the end of a 15-minute window than at its start. The contract resolves to "Up" if the end price is greater than or equal to the start price, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The price used for settlement is not taken from any exchange or general spot market. The contract specifies the Chainlink BNB/USD data stream as its resolution source, and states that only that feed counts, not other sources or spot markets [1]. This matters because two different price feeds can show slightly different values at the same moment, so the outcome depends on which feed is named in the rules. The listed end time for this contract is 2026-08-05 at 15:00 UTC, which corresponds to the 11:00 AM ET close in the title [1]. The record was retrieved on 2026-10-16, well after that listed end time. The status recorded in the provider data is "active" [1], but that field reflects the provider's saved record and does not mean the window is still running. The supplied material does not show the final resolved outcome, so this article does not state one.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether BNB's price, as reported by the named Chainlink BNB/USD data stream, is at or above its starting level when the 10:45 AM to 11:00 AM ET window ends [1]. Because the rule uses a single named feed and an inclusive comparison (equal prices resolve Up), the outcome is defined by the contract's wording rather than by a general market consensus [1]. Anyone reading a price for this contract should keep in mind that the price shows market trading in the contract, not a verified probability of the outcome, and that the contract's listed end time has already passed as of the retrieval date.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to Up if the BNB price at the end of the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1].
Which price source is used to settle the contract?
The resolution source is the Chainlink BNB/USD data stream. The rules say the market concerns that feed, not other sources or spot markets [1].
When was this contract scheduled to end?
The listed end time is 2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z, which is 11:00 AM ET on that date [1].
Does the status "active" mean this window is still open?
No. The record was retrieved on 2026-10-16, after the listed end time of 2026-08-05. The status field comes from the saved provider record and does not show that trading or the window is still open today [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
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