How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

Name: How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$29.16K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $29.16K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $29.16K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in March?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in March?	Poly	100%
Will President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in March?	Poly	0%
Will President Trump sign 6 pieces of legislation into law in March?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$29.16K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The p

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. 

Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.

The p

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $11.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.95)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will President Trump sign 6 pieces of legislation into law in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/CmDXH9" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in March?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in March?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)