Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Name: Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli
End: 2026-10-19T14:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$23.98

Events

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Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Vol

$23.98

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $23.98

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $23.98

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

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Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli	Poly	54%
Set 1 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli	Poly	50%
Set 2 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli	Poly	50%
Valerio Aboian vs. Franco Roncadelli: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Valerio Aboian (-1.5) vs Franco Roncadelli (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Franco Roncadelli (-1.5) vs Valerio Aboian (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	49%
Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	49%
Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	49%
Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli	Poly	34%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

54%

Top Probability

$23.98

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Franco Roncadelli in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Franco Roncadelli. This market will resolve to 'Franco Roncadelli' if Franco Roncadelli advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Franco Roncadelli in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Franco Roncadelli.

This market will resolve to 'Franco Roncadelli' if Franco Roncadelli advances against Valerio Aboian.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Franco Roncadelli in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Franco Roncadelli.

This market will resolve to 'Franco R"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $24
* **Total Liquidity:** $350
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.07)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $24
  DATA: [Valerio Aboian: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [Franco Roncadelli: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Valerio Aboian: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Franco Roncadelli: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Valerio Aboian: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Franco Roncadelli: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Valerio Aboian vs. Franco Roncadelli: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Valerio Aboian (-1.5) vs Franco Roncadelli (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Valerio Aboian: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Franco Roncadelli: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Set Handicap: Franco Roncadelli (-1.5) vs Valerio Aboian (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Franco Roncadelli: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Valerio Aboian: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Volume$23.98

Markets16

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Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

POLYMARKET

Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

POLYMARKET

Valerio Aboian vs. Franco Roncadelli: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Valerio Aboian vs. Franco Roncadelli: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Franco Roncadelli in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "U

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Oct 19, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC

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49¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Cmz1d0" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli"></iframe>

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Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

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Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

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Events (1)

Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Markets (16)

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Set 1 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Set 1 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Set 2 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Set 2 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Valerio Aboian vs. Franco Roncadelli: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Valerio Aboian vs. Franco Roncadelli: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

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Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Set 1 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Set 1 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Set 2 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Set 2 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Valerio Aboian vs. Franco Roncadelli: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Valerio Aboian vs. Franco Roncadelli: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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