Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

Name: M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender
End: 2026-10-20T15:00:00.000Z

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$0.00

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M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

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3 markets tracked

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Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender	Kalshi	—
Set Handicap: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (-1.5) vs Nicolas Hollender (+1.5)	Kalshi	—
Set Handicap: Nicolas Hollender (-1.5) vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (+1.5)	Kalshi	—

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

85%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mouilleron Salvo and Nicolas Hollender in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mouilleron Salvo' if Manuel Mouilleron Salvo advances against Nicolas Hollender. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Hollender' if Nicolas Hollender advances against Manuel Mouilleron Salvo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been dete

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 20, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mouilleron Salvo and Nicolas Hollender in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mouilleron Salvo' if Manuel Mouilleron Salvo advances against Nicolas Hollender.

This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Hollender' if Nicolas Hollender advances against Manuel Mouilleron Salvo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been dete

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mouilleron Salvo and Nicolas Hollender in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mouilleron Salvo' if Manuel Mouilleron Salvo advances against Nicolas Hollender.

Th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10
* **Total Liquidity:** $813
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Manuel Mouilleron Salvo: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [Nicolas Hollender: 15.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Set Handicap: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (-1.5) vs Nicolas Hollender (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Manuel Mouilleron Salvo: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Nicolas Hollender: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set Handicap: Nicolas Hollender (-1.5) vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Nicolas Hollender: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Manuel Mouilleron Salvo: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

Volume$0.00

Markets3

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POLYMARKET

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes N/ANo N/A

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

LiquidityLOW

Health Score15/100

Leading Outcome85.0%

Manuel Mouilleron Salvo

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (-1.5) vs Nicolas Hollender (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes N/ANo N/A

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (-1.5) vs Nicolas Hollender (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mouilleron Salvo and Nicolas Hollender in the M15 Quito, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Manuel Mouilleron Salvo" if Manuel Mouilleron Salvo wins by 2 or more sets than Nicolas Hollender, base

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Nicolas Hollender (-1.5) vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes N/ANo N/A

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Nicolas Hollender (-1.5) vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Hollender and Manuel Mouilleron Salvo in the M15 Quito, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nicolas Hollender" if Nicolas Hollender wins by 2 or more sets than Manuel Mouilleron Salvo, based on t

LiquidityLOW

Health Score15/100

Leading Outcome50.5%

Manuel Mouilleron Salvo

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Next Market Deadline

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Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/CqnsEP" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender"></iframe>

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M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

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M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

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Events (1)

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

Markets (3)

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

Set Handicap: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (-1.5) vs Nicolas Hollender (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (-1.5) vs Nicolas Hollender (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Nicolas Hollender (-1.5) vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Nicolas Hollender (-1.5) vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (+1.5)

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

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M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

Set Handicap: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (-1.5) vs Nicolas Hollender (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (-1.5) vs Nicolas Hollender (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Nicolas Hollender (-1.5) vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Nicolas Hollender (-1.5) vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (+1.5)

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