NYA (NYA) Up or Down on January 29? | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

NYA (NYA) Up or Down on January 29?

Name: NYA (NYA) Up or Down on January 29?
End: 2026-01-29T21:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.78K

Events

Markets

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NYA (NYA) Up or Down on January 29?

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Polymarket

markets · $3.78K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.78K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

NYA (NYA) Up or Down on January 29?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on January 29?	Poly	57%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

57%

Top Probability

$3.78K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA (NYA) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 is higher than the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA (NYA) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 is lower than the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a mar

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NYA (NYA) Up or Down on January 29?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 29, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Up" if the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA (NYA) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 is higher than the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA (NYA) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 is lower than the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a mar

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Up" if the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA (NYA) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 is higher than the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official NYSE Compos"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $17
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 219.67)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. NYA (NYA) Up or Down on January 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Up: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [Down: 43.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

57¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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NYA (NYA) Up or Down on January 29?

NYA (NYA) Up or Down on January 29?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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NYA (NYA) Up or Down on January 29?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)